Strong Growth Expected for Commercial Real Estate Sector in 2015

The BCREA Commercial Leading Indicator (CLI) rose 0.8 index points to 119.8, the fourth consecutive quarterly increase. The continued advance in the CLI trend points to optimism surrounding the economic environment underlying the commercial real estate market.

“Rising consumer confidence combined with a lower value of the loonie and a strengthening US economy helped to push the economic activity component of the CLI higher in the fourth quarter,” said BCREA Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “A stronger provincial economy in 2015 will support increased commercial real estate activity this year.”

The rising trend in the CLI generally points to growth in investment, leasing and other commercial real estate activity two to four quarters ahead. Therefore, the positive increase in the trend component of the CLI for the fourth quarter of 2014 signals positive growth for much of 2015. 

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